Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 143.499298 157.800400 172.450370 188.551466 205.721766 223.456405 243.130044
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 123.123790 144.744376 167.935924 194.540847 224.094094 255.794677 292.246240
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 107.591089 134.630833 164.888049 200.948669 242.443892 288.392779 342.807727
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 88.460818 118.015804 152.528631 195.227449 246.042095 304.001204 374.505668
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 74.780181 106.059082 144.077238 192.744863 252.422955 322.268661 409.201639
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 65.549944 98.398358 139.810511 194.456128 263.232705 345.516778 449.919649
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 58.338326 92.422375 136.886140 197.207263 274.917889 369.708034 492.003096
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 53.878194 89.565016 137.541574 204.201853 291.791921 400.373504 542.403716
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 49.346993 86.053731 136.879739 209.141387 305.884432 427.638657 588.940996
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 43.690954 80.264218 132.535411 208.671678 312.596655 445.427116 623.687731
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.746974 74.977988 128.398044 208.043111 318.774602 462.369257 657.394612
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 36.489515 73.622766 129.743244 214.949687 335.100527 492.636949 708.537886
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.645340 71.123184 129.327808 219.457453 348.489545 519.659706 756.484979
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.239917 69.102302 129.462047 224.685514 362.949781 548.359312 807.131651
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.284267 67.646384 130.331086 230.948605 378.953698 579.387748 861.343983
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 24.827406 61.180378 122.774164 224.137749 376.018098 584.568781 881.192272
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 21.637362 56.637521 117.943999 221.121891 378.267797 596.681154 910.317111
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 19.627338 54.123887 116.278577 222.857869 387.382730 618.324217 952.527667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 18.011711 52.198727 115.451873 225.806202 398.267147 642.529418 998.485721
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 17.248196 51.970257 117.545508 233.470454 416.329704 677.069341 1059.023966
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 16.216579 51.029321 118.279439 238.884381 431.044297 707.031738 1113.579604
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 14.484488 48.278049 115.516439 238.349348 436.577352 723.893179 1150.104157
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 12.909135 45.648885 112.764741 237.646775 441.730254 740.180460 1185.926086